In An Era Of Trump, Musk, Tariffs, AI and Temu, What Is The Future Of Fashion?

Welcome to our first “Year of the Snake” edition, where we explore the evolving landscape of fashion against the backdrop of significant global influences.  From political figures to technological innovations, the future of fashion is being reshaped in unprecedented ways.  Let’s dive into the key factors affecting this dynamic industry.

Certainly, a lot has happened since we last reviewed the state of the fashion industry.  As the title addresses, we have a new leader in the world.  One who is ushering in a completely new direction for business and for the future.  All political opinions aside, undoubtedly this will impact so much of our daily lives in many ways and certainly in the fashion industry

The impact of tariffs on fashion brands will, without doubt, disrupt manufacturing locations and lead to the rethinking of supply chains.  Although there’s a lot of talk about onshoring, the ability to do that within the US is really limited.  Trump is a notorious dealmaker and, clearly, he’s keeping opportunities open in China, Canada, Mexico, and other locations to strike some beneficial outcome for the US.  

 Post-election frenzy gave the impression that the US was again leading the world without much challenge from elsewhere, only to be shocked by the appearance of DEEPSEEK, the Chinese AI challenger to Open AI/Chat GPT.  This made the world aware that whatever limitations are placed on China they will find a way around them.  

The arrival of DEEPSEEK and the reminder of the resilience of China is important.  Deepseek could be said to be an AI version of Temu and Shein.  Ultra-low-cost versions of what the US has produced, leaving others reeling in disbelief that this was actually possible.  Maybe this is a poor comparison, but this clearly highlights how nothing is predictable anymore and every business model and industry can be disrupted. 

Shein has completely disrupted the fast fashion industry, with Temu doing similar damage to homeware and appliances.  I am always negative about Shein and Temu.  I have opinions related to their environmental impact and labour practices, as well as their impact on younger generations, who can easily be tempted to buy more and become unconscious consumers.  Yet, these platforms have reshaped consumer behaviour and business practices across the globe by utilising data, speed to market and disrupting traditional processes.  Shein's impact on the fashion industry is profound and multifaceted. While it has revolutionised fast fashion through innovative business practices and responsive marketing strategies, it has also raised critical discussions about sustainability and ethics.  As the fashion landscape continues to evolve, the challenge will be for both consumers and brands to find a balance between affordability and responsible consumption.

 Continuing the AI conversation, there are many opportunities in fashion for AI implementation.  It could be said that AI is poised to revolutionise the fashion industry by enhancing design processes, personalising shopping experiences, optimising supply chains, and promoting hyperspeed to market.  As brands increasingly adopt AI technologies, the focus will be on balancing innovation with ethical considerations and the preservation of creativity, whilst building aggressive businesses.  The integration of AI not only improves efficiency but also fosters a more responsive, consumer-centric fashion landscape.  Yet fashion is notoriously slow to adapt.  The sustainability challenges have not gained much momentum.  With Trump in charge, sustainable fashion will drop further down the list of priorities.  

Where does this leave us as industry professionals or consumers?  

Let’s outline a few areas of possibility:

  1.  In the US, business is back.  There will be a drive to make more, spend more and experience good times.

  2. Technology can and will impact life in ways we do not understand.  We can look forward to new and innovative initiatives throughout the industry.  New brands can be created with unprecedented speed and innovation.

  3. The power of the US will create opportunities for other countries to rise.  Either through competition or from challenge.

  4. Sustainability will not be a priority, yet it may rise as a counter to the major themes.

  5. AI, innovation and a need to go beyond the past will create a future where anything can be possible.  Yet, this will create a counter-culture for handmade, traditional and authentic goods.

Wherever you stand in terms of politics, AI, innovations, consumer trends - the future is literally “everything, everywhere, all at once”.  Pick your way forward with care, consideration and awareness.

As always, have fun, love life, and enjoy fashion.

Kate xx

THE FASHIONABLE FUTURES VISIONARIES COMMUNITY IS HERE!

Hello, Darlings,

 Welcome back.  Welcome to the future of fashion.  A place where we get to impact the future of fashion, beauty, and creativity for all in a beautiful and impactful way. This year of 2025 is an exciting one.  May all your intentions, commitments and dreams be fulfilled in the year ahead.  

 In this newsletter and community, we have talked about fashion, sustainable fashion, consumption, shopping, and loving life with Fashion.  So now we are going to the next level.

 We are thrilled to announce the launch of our Sustainable Fashion Community! Sustainable Fashion Visionaries.  

This initiative is all about bringing together individuals who are passionate about fashion and committed to making a positive impact on our planet. Together, we can explore the world of sustainable fashion, share knowledge, and inspire each other to make eco-conscious choices.

What you can expect in our amazing community:

  • An incredible Programme, “So You Want To Have A Sustainable Fashion Brand” - We created this incredible programme to give you a transformational 8-week course offering astonishing value, information and learning.  This is for you if you want to start a brand or convert your existing brand to be more sustainable.  You will love it.

  • Engaging Discussions: We’ll tackle important topics like sustainable materials, ethical production, and the impact of fast fashion.

  • Workshops and Events: Look forward to exciting workshops and events that promote and feature manufacturers, fabric mills, communities and creators.

  • Spotlight on Brands: Discover and support sustainable brands and designers who are leading the way in ethical fashion.  Learn from them and partner with them.

  • Resources and Tips: We’ll provide valuable resources and practical tips to help you make informed decisions and reduce your fashion footprint.

  • Access to me - Kate Padget-Koh: I will share my knowledge, experience and network.

We invite you to join us on this journey towards a more sustainable and stylish future.

Let’s connect, learn, and grow together!

As always, have fun, love life, and enjoy fashion.

Kate xx

FASHION OUTLOOK FOR 2025

Welcome back, and welcome to 2025.

How do you feel?  What are you looking forward to?  Have you worked on your goals, plans and objectives for the year ahead?  What are you excited about?  What are you creating?  What’s important for you in this brand new year of 2025?

As fashion lovers, I’m sure we all look out at the beginning of the year with excitement for the new hero products, the beautiful collections, the changes in the consumer landscape and the outfits we’re going to create (either from what we already have or from pieces we purchase).  For many of you, I’m sure you’ve also researched the future of fashion through articles you have read, including The Business of Fashion and McKinsey’s “The State of Fashion” as well as from your own ideas of market sentiment.   Well, I’m going to look out from my own point of view of what I see for the coming year ahead.

From an astrological and spiritual perspective, this year of 2025 is a major year of transition.  There are endings and new beginnings.  Is this what we will experience in fashion? As I look to the year ahead from a personal perspective, I’m really excited.  I have things I want to create and plans for new things, and existing things.  Overall an experience of love for life, with lots of new opportunities, experiences and projects that I’m committed to realising.  If I were to have a word for the year ahead, it would be responsibility, not in a heavy sense, but more like accountability in this year ahead; 2025 is a year where integrity, quality and authenticity are so important.

So let’s explore a bit more about that and the many factors contributing to why this year is all about integrity, quality and authenticity.  Firstly,  we are experiencing a luxury slowdown.  It seems that consumers have got tired of spending on high-price items and continual price hikes in expensive brand names.  Not to mention, the tremendous amount of jupes that have come onto the marketplace.  Here, of course, we must address the “Walmart Birkin”.   Whatever your view is on fashion brands, iconic bags and luxury goods, there does seem to be a drawing back of the curtain and showing that you can have really great items for a fraction of the cost; whether you choose to have that or not is an entirely personal choice.  However, the consumer has a choice and this is the first of several areas where consumers can no longer be blindly led to buy expensive items.  Economically, we face so many challenges in the world and whilst interest rates have come down (to an extent),  there are still many uncertainties.  We have wars, climate change challenges and impending impacts due to the increases in tariffs.  It is all a bit unknown and rather a sense of impending doom, or at least uncertainty.  It seems a good idea to hold onto our money rather than spending unnecessarily.  

1. Luxury Slow-Down 

So, of course, the luxury brands are very active in securing their positions as leaders in the space.  This year of 2025, is the year where we see so many new creative directors at brands and some really big brands such as Chanel, Givenchy, Bottega Veneta and Celine.  Many things are changing around those luxury goods companies and probably still more to come.  How much this will change the landscape and encourage consumers to spend we really don’t know but as with fashion economics are also cyclical. We can’t expect the luxury goods industry to keep growing,  It’s slowing down now and it will come back, but not immediately.   

2. Too Much Stuff

The online, multi-brand marketplace environment has seen so much consolidation with lacklustre performances.  The shares of these former powerhouses have dropped by 77%.  It seems like every time I open my emails there are promotions from Net-a-Porter, MyTheresa and others.  Have we just got to the point where there is just far too much out there and consumers are tired of buying more and more?  Let’s get back to integrity and quality in authenticity.  We don’t need everything there is out there.  We just need some beautiful items and not everything has to be expensive, not everything has to be brand new, but they certainly need to be authentic.  Has the consumer woken up to the value of familiarity, authenticity and comfort in what they’re wearing?

 3. Shein IPO 

I guess some have seen the importance of quality and authenticity, but a lot have not.  Will 2025 be the year for the Sheen IPO?  This IPO had some false starts and yet they are clearly committed to making this happen.  Thirty percent of Gen Z customers say they’re addicted to fast fashion and this is where these customers are.  The magical gamifying of buying low-price items has provided phenomenal results for the company and the platform.  Yet, hampered by so many shadowy reports around human rights compliance and sustainability, among others, clearly, there are still a lot of people who don’t recognise the importance of sustainable fashion.  In a world of financial insecurity, this often leads to consumers deprioritising sustainability and favouring cheap items.  It certainly seems that sustainability and climate commitments have taken a back seat.  Consumers seem less interested in this than earlier this decade, how this is addressed is unclear, especially in times when we are consistently experiencing freak storms, flooding, and the biggest weather stories we’ve ever known and yet people still buy cheap fashion.  Maybe they just don’t know the impact it has or maybe they aren’t really understanding fully.

4. Sustainability Back Seat

The deceleration of the China economy and spending has considerably impacted the growth of specific brands, the luxury goods industry, and sportswear.  We are no longer living in the unprecedented times of the pre-pandemic when Chinese luxury shoppers were everywhere, buying from Western brands and China was a very strong market for growth.  Not only has the economy declined, but the focus is on local spending.  Many Western brands are being replaced by Chinese brands.  The sportswear industry has seen the move away from Nike, Adidas and other incumbents, towards Anta and Li-Ning.  Anna’s revenue has surpassed Nike’s with a total revenue of 33.74 Billion RMB during the first half of 2024.  Twenty percent more than Nike and 160% more than Adidas.  Even Starbucks has seen tremendous competition from Luckin Coffee.

Clearly, there are other markets with great opportunities - India, Japan, Thailand and Indonesia.  Yet, what is clear is the end of that era is here.  Brands cannot expect to be able to have consumers endlessly shop their items.  The drive for cultural alignment may speak to this or a national focus.  Let’s see how this progresses. 

However, one issue which is all about integrity, quality, and authenticity (or lack of it) in 2024, was the discovery of luxury sweatshops in Europe, found to be making Dior products, and probably other brands as well.  I have a denim Dior Saddlebag and a Bucket hat, presumably both from said sweatshops.  Seriously, both were expensive.  The brands involved have issues with integrity - human rights conflicts,  definitely authenticity - these products have been made in compromised conditions, which is not related to authenticity.  The quality is probably not an issue, as the brand will have many measures (and penalties) in place to ensure this.  

Yet this exposure is an opportunity for the consumer to see that these Brands are not as aspirational as they are presented.  

4. Consumer Confidence

Why buy expensive brands when their ethics and quality are questionable?

The fashion year 2025 may have many challenges, but it is good in that it provides a levelling, revealing what is really going on in fashion.  The curtain has been and will continue to be pulled back.  Consumers are becoming more aware, being educated, and having choices.  This may be the end of the illusion of the brands, but this is a good thing as those with integrity, quality, and authenticity will thrive.  Here’s to that!

As always, have fun, love life, and enjoy fashion.

Kate xx

End 2024 Powerfully And Create An Impactful 2025

Hello, Darlings!

Welcome back, and welcome to another blog from the Future of Fashion, a place where we can magically impact the future of fashion, beauty and creativity for all living creatures. 

End 2024 Powerfully and Create an Impactful 2025

As we approach the end of 2024, it’s the perfect time to reflect on your achievements, assess your goals, and set intentions for the coming year.  Here are some powerful ways to ensure you close out 2024 on a high note and create a fulfilling 2025.  

Read on for amazing strategies to help you engage in this amazing journey.

  1. Reflect and Celebrate: Take some time to acknowledge your accomplishments over the past year.  This is very important to do.  Be grateful for the journey you have taken in the past year.  What did you set out to achieve?  Celebrate your wins, no matter how small.  This reflection not only boosts your morale but also provides clarity on what strategies worked best.  ACTION:  Create a list of your top ten achievements from 2024.

  2. Assess and Adjust: Evaluate your progress on your goals.  What didn’t go as planned?  Identify the obstacles you faced and adjust your strategies accordingly.  This is a valuable opportunity to learn and grow from your experiences. 
    ACTION:  Conduct a SWOT analysis (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats) related to your goals.  This structured approach allows you to see where you excelled and where you can improve, making it easier to adapt your plans for 2025.

  3. Declare 2024 Complete - say everything you need to say for it to be “complete” for you.  

  4. Set Clear Intentions for 2025:  Once you’ve assessed and completed your past year, think about what you want to achieve in 2025.  Set SMART goals (Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, Time-bound) to provide a clear roadmap for your success.
    ACTION:  When setting SMART goals, consider breaking them down into quarterly objectives.  This makes them more manageable and allows for regular evaluation of your progress throughout the year.

  5. Develop a Support System:  Surround yourself with like-minded individuals who inspire and motivate you.  Whether through networking or seeking mentorship, having a support system can drive you towards your goals. 
    ACTION:  Consider joining online communities or local groups that align with your aspirations.  Engaging with others can offer fresh perspectives, ideas, and encouragement.  Get a Performance Buddy to work with you throughout the year.

  6. Create a Vision Board:  Visual representation can be a powerful tool.  Create a vision board that encapsulates your goals and dreams for 2025.  This serves as a continuous reminder of what you’re striving for. 
    ACTION:  Actually make the vision board, make it real.  Put it as wallpaper on your Laptop and phone, and keep it in your life every day.

  7. Practice Gratitude:  Cultivating a gratitude practice can shift your mindset and keep you positive.  Write down things you are grateful for regularly.  This practice can foster resilience and motivate you through challenges. 
    ACTION:  Start a gratitude journal where you write down three things you are grateful for each day.  This habit can help shift your focus from what’s lacking to what’s abundant in your life.

  8. Plan for Self-Care:  As you hustle towards your goals, don’t forget to prioritise self-care. Ensure you allocate time for rest, rejuvenation, and activities that bring you joy.  
    ACTION:  Identify activities that recharge you, like reading, walking in nature, or meditating. Schedule these into your calendar to ensure they are prioritised amidst your busy life.

As you implement these strategies, remember that the transition into a new year is not just a change in the calendar but an opportunity for personal growth and transformation.  Embrace the journey ahead with optimism and determination!

Have a wonderful 2025.  Thank you for your love and listening in 2024.  Love you all.

As always, have fun, love life, and enjoy fashion.

Kate xx

2025: A Year of Beauty, Creativity and Quality.

During the past year, there have been a lot of changes in the design leadership of many luxury brands.  Also frequently known as “creative musical chairs”.  We saw Virginie leave Chanel, Sarah Burton exit McQueen, Pierpaolo leave Valentino and Heidi Slimane exit Celine.  This was to name only a few.

There has been quite some drama in the luxury industry, which has coincided with a lot of change in the world at large.

We can reflect on why this is happening. Certainly, there are many factors that may contribute to these changes.  The pandemic and pre-pandemic saw a huge growth in the acquisition of luxury goods, handbags shoes, and clothing. It seemed that everyone was shopping Chanel.  Luxury democratisation became a thing.  The increase in the popularity of luxury influencers proved very powerful in educating many people about luxury goods, beauty and creativity at best.  At worst, the average shopper filled their doubts about themselves by consuming expensive items.

During the post-pandemic cost-of-living surge and interest rate hikes, people have had less disposable income, and the impact is real.  The realities of life mean many people are questioning the relevance and importance of owning a lot of luxury products. Plus, we have faced a lot of uncertainty in the world, which inevitably has an impact and people want to hold onto their money.

As we scan through YouTube and other social media sites there is a lot of concern, crisis, and fear drama about what’s happening in the world.  We have wars waging across parts of the Middle East, the Russia-Ukraine conflict is rolling onto its third year.  Is all of this uncertainty having an impact on fashion?  Is it just that people are worried about money and scared to spend, or is it deeper than that? 

From a spiritual perspective, we could be said to be facing a time of “awakening”. Certainly, if you look to astrologers or spiritual leaders, the talk of mass awakening is a frequent conversation.  To add to that, there is the recent interest and frequency of UFOs.  

We are really living in a time of change from a financial perspective due to many uncertainties.  These all contribute to why we see so many changes in luxury fashion houses.  Certainly, Louis Vuitton, Chanel, and Kering are all looking to increase their profitability and market share.  Yet there is a deeper occurrence the world is facing – a considerable shift in the way we feel about everything. 

Questions like:

Do we want to consume as much?

Are we ready to consume something that feeds our soul at a whole new level?

Are we tired of being sold to and want to have agency in what we buy and how we buy it?

Are we looking for deeper meaning in life, rather than filling a void with more consumption?

These are all very relevant questions.

From my own perspective, and I think my view is quite dialled in, I’ve become rather fatigued with the whole luxury goods industry.  We see so many complaints about the quality of Chanel bags (not that I have faced those myself) and then buy into and commit to a brand only to find that the designer is moving again.  This can be incredibly frustrating.   To see powerful brands like Gucci who brought so much glamour, fun and diversity, somewhat lose their way and be unapproachable for many people.  It all gets rather tiring. 

I love fashion.  I am clear about this and why I got into the industry.  I believed it was a place of possibility, creativity and beauty. I consider fashion, at Its best, as being like art.  Now, as I look forward to the era ahead, the movements of last week have restored some of my faith in the industry (which has been somewhat missing for some time).   

Matthieu Blazy’s Chanel appointment brings a whole new potential life into the Brand. I believe his work will bring a new sense of youth, relevance and a breath of fresh air to tailoring, making it very approachable.  Well, let’s see.  I’ve always loved Alessandro Michele and he at Valentino reviving those beautiful aesthetics of the past is inspiring, stunning and a place to dream.  Sarah Burton at Givenchy seems like just a natural place for her to be and I really look forward to seeing her talent expressed through the dark beauty of Givenchy.

One of the brightest lights of the past week was Louise Trotter‘s appointment at Bottega Veneta.  Many people probably don’t know who Louise Trotter is. She was formally at Carven and before that Lacoste and Calvin Klein.  I had the good fortune of working with Louise when she was head designer at Whistles, a wonderful UK High Street brand.  She is a fellow British Northerner, she is down to earth, hugely talented and extremely committed to what women want to wear.  I’m super excited about what she brings to Bottega, which is already a very beautiful brand.  It seems that whatever it is, she will have women, and what they realistically want to wear, as her focus. We are in an era where femininity, quality, and beauty are coming back to fashion.  I truly believe that and I want to enter 2025 with that belief.  

Let’s make 2025 a place of creativity, beauty, inspiration, and quality however that may be.

 … We still have the magical potential of what Mr. John Galliano will do next. I can’t wait!

As always, have fun, love life, and enjoy fashion.

Kate xx